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☆ Markets worry Treasury yields could jump back to levels that sparked chaos last October
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield is hovering below levels that caused a massive crash last fall. Yet, persistent inflation and weak Treasury auctions could boost yields past the 5% mark. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. That's why Treasury auctions have become attention-grabbers for markets, as investors watch to see if there are enough willing buyers. The dangers of 5%When 10-year yields broke through the 5% mark last fall, traders panicked and the S&P 500 nosedived nearly 6% from October's peak-to-trough.

Persons: —, That's, Treasurys, Bill Gross, Ed Yardeni, Eric Sterner, Yardeni, hasn't, they're, Goldman Sachs, Sterner Organizations: Service, Treasury, Business, Treasury Department, Federal, Yardeni Research, Investment, SEI, Apollon Wealth Management

☆ There are 4 big factors to watch that could bring turmoil to financial markets, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks and the economy look strong but there are four factors that could pose a problem, Capital Economics said. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East and high interest rates are big risks to markets. A depreciation of the Chinese yuan and soaring US debt are also the two factors investors need to watch. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Thirdly, with the rising value of the Chinese yuan, any depreciation could trigger currency market volatility elsewhere.

Persons: —, Ruben Gargallo Abargues, Jonas Goltermann, Wednesday's, Goltermann, Bill Gross Organizations: Economics, Service, Capital Economics, Brent Locations: Israel, Treasuries

☆ Billionaire 'bond king' Bill Gross says soaring Treasury issuance means bond yields can't come down anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Bill Gross says bond prices will be higher rather than lower in the near term as Treasury issuance surges. Gross also said the "total return" bond strategy he helped develop in the 1980s is dead. AdvertisementThe high level of US debt issuance signals to investors that they should expect yields to move higher, not lower, according to "bond king" Bill Gross. AdvertisementGross explained that while Treasury debt has been growing at a rapid rate, other types of debt, including business and household debt, have been growing more slowly. As a result, in order to make up for this difference, the government must ramp up Treasury debt by over 10% to uphold 5.5% nominal GDP growth, he wrote.

Persons: Bill Gross, Gross, —, PIMCO Organizations: Service, Treasury, Federal

☆ Billionaire 'bond king' Bill Gross tells investors to avoid tech and stick to value stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Billionaire "bond king" Bill Gross told investors to avoid tech stocks and stick to value stocks. Microsoft is the only buy if investors must dabble in the tech sector, he said. In a post on X, the "bond king" said, "Stick to value stocks, avoid tech for now." Bond yields jumped on the data, and the tech sector dropped, with the Nasdaq Composite down more than 1% Thursday afternoon. The stock sold off sharply, down by over 10% late Thursday, helping to drag the tech sector lower.

Persons: Bill Gross, Gross, —, Tesla Organizations: Microsoft, Service, Nasdaq, Western Midstream Partners, Meta

☆ Bill Gross says this income play is ‘Better than AI.’ How you can get in on it
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Energy prices are surging, and an income-oriented play is getting some love from legendary investor Bill Gross. Better than AI," noting that these master limited partnerships have climbed by double-digits in the past 12 months. MLPs offer investors a way to bet on the exploration, transport and processing of oil and gas. Though the partnership isn't subject to federal income tax, the limited partners face taxes on the income they collect. That means MLP investors could find themselves going on extension to file returns: In that case, they could file their returns as late as Oct. 15.

Persons: Bill Gross, Gross, Stephen Ellis, Ellis Organizations: West Texas, Brent, American Pipeline, NuStar Energy, Morningstar, midstream, Enterprise Products Partners, Targa Resources, Energy, Partners, . Gas, . Enterprise Products, MLP Locations: Asia

☆ Meme stocks are back in fashion. Here's how to find one.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, we're breaking down how to identify a meme stock . Three years after GameStop upended things, meme stocks are back in fashion. But how does one find a meme stock? (Trump Media doesn't technically qualify as a meme stock under Sosnick's criteria due to the amount of low short interest. Maintaining long-term support for a meme stock remains a tough nut to crack.

Persons: —, Mark Zuckerberg, Satya Nadella, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, There's, Steve Sosnick, Business Insider's Matthew Fox, David Becker, Chelsea Jia Feng, Donald Trump's, Trump, Bill Gross, BI's Peter Kafka, there's, it's, Pedro Ribeiro Simões, …, Matt Chase, they're, OpenAI's Sam Altman, Sora, Meta, Tyler Le, Jack Canfield's, Jay Marine, Amazon's, Jeff Bezos, Antony Blinken, Emmanuel Macron, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Business, Service, Getty, GameStop, Interactive, Business Insider's, Trump Media, Technology Group, AMC Entertainment, Big Tech, Hollywood, Facebook, NBA, FOX Locations: YOLO, hodlers, Silicon, Paris, Ukraine, Gaza, New York, London, Chicago

☆ Elite investor Jeffrey Gundlach compares the AI boom in stocks to the dot-com bubble — and warns of economic pain
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Jeffrey Gundlach compared the AI-fueled boom in stocks to the dot-com bubble. DoubleLine Capital's billionaire CEO predicted sticky inflation and an economic slump. Two other market gurus, Bill Gross and John Hussman, warned of extreme stock valuations this week. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementJeffrey Gundlach has warned the AI-crazed stock market reminds him of the dot-com bubble — and predicted a painful mix of stubborn inflation and economic decline lies ahead.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Bill Gross, John Hussman, — Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business

☆ The rarest US stamp is going up for auction. It’s expected to sell for millions
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Harmeet Kaur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

This summer, philatelists will have a chance to snag the rarest US stamp ever: the 1868 one-cent “Z-grill.”Interested? On June 14, the one-cent Z-grill will be put up for sale by Robert A. Siegel Auction Galleries, marking the first time the rare stamp has been on auction since 1998. Of the two known copies of the one-cent Z-grill, one is held by the New York Public Library. That leaves only one one-cent Z-grill available to private collectors. “There’s multiple stamps that’ll bring $500,000 or $750,000, but the (one-cent) Z-grill is the star of the show,” Shreve said.

Persons: Robert A, Bill Gross, “ It’s, ”, Charles Shreve, Gross, “, Benjamin Franklin, Scott Trepel, ” Trepel, Trepel, Jerry Buss, Shreve, ‘, ’ ” Shreve, Don Sundman, ” Shreve Organizations: CNN, British, New York Public Library, US Post, Los Angeles Lakers, Pacific Investment Management Company, US Postal Service Locations: New York, British Guiana

☆ Market is correct pricing in three rate cuts, the question is 'timing', says PIMCO's Bill Gross
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket is correct pricing in three rate cuts, the question is 'timing', says PIMCO's Bill GrossHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

Persons: Bill Gross, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: CNBC

Ten-year Treasury yields hit a 16-year high of 5.021% in late October, but have fallen back to 4.414%. Some big investors and advisers believe, however, that reasons to cheer are short-lived and growing concerns over the economy will start weighting on asset prices early next year. His focus now is more on earnings, credit markets and broader economic data for signs of a potential slowdown. The U.S. presidential race next year is also a concern because it could be a source of more market instability. For a new boost in market performance, tech stocks will depend more on showing how AI can lift results, investors said.

Persons: We've, Ryan Israel, Bill Ackman's, Mohamed El, Peter van Dooijeweert, Max Gokhman, Franklin Templeton, Bill Gross, van Dooijeweert, Carolina Mandl, David Randall, Svea, Bayliss, Megan Davies, Leslie Adler Organizations: Nasdaq, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Capital Management, Allianz, Group's Solutions, U.S, Reuters, Microsoft, Wall, Svea Herbst, Thomson Locations: extrapolating, U.S, China

☆ Fitch says US regional bank challenges to persist in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 15 (Reuters) - Rating agency Fitch said on Wednesday that U.S. regional banks will face continued challenges in 2024, with those lacking scale or focused on commercial loan growth disproportionately pressured. Fitch said that a delay in meaningful loosening of monetary policy would likely translate into "sustained competition for deposits" and "stubbornly weak loan growth." Large regional banks focused on commercial loan growth saw the weakest credit demand, which in some cases reached double digit declines on an annualized basis, Fitch said. In third quarter earnings, a string of regional banks reported pressure on net interest income (NII), the difference between what banks earn from lending and pay out on deposits, which hit some of their shares.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Fitch, Bill Gross, Pritam Biswas, Megan Davies, Shounak Dasgupta, Jonathan Oatis, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, SVB, Bengaluru

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Bargain or trap? US bank stock outlook hinges on Fed's path
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Bank stocks are at an all-time low compared with the S&P 500 based on relative prices, according to data from BofA Global Research. One key factor for bank stocks is whether the Federal Reserve is close to wrapping up a monetary tightening cycle that has brought the highest U.S. interest rates in decades. Yet signs the Fed may keep rates around current levels through most of next year have weighed on bank stocks. This month, analysts at BofA Global Research said investors should “selectively” add exposure to bank stocks in anticipation of an interest rate peak. Overall, about 61% of all outstanding mortgages have an interest rate below 4%, according to the Apollo Group, leaving consumers little incentive to refinance or move.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, ”, Quincy Krosby, Bill Gross, Neville Javeri, Goldman Sachs, Jeff Muhlenkamp, David Randall, Bansari Mayur, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Silicon Valley Bank, Bank, BofA Global Research, LPL, Federal Reserve, Fund, Allspring Global Investments, Fifth Third Bancorp, Investors, Apollo Group, financials, Fed, Muhlenkamp & Company, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Silicon

☆ How the cost of homebuying and selling will change after landmark court loss over real estate commissions
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Cheryl Winokur Munk | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A recent jury verdict against the National Association of Realtors and large residential brokerages could upend the residential real estate industry. Here's what real estate agents, homebuyers and sellers need to know about potential changes in residential real estate economics. A bad time for bad news in real estateThe jury verdict comes at a time when many real estate agents are already feeling a pinch. At a time when home sales are already under pressure, "this lawsuit is just another punch in the gut for real estate franchises," said Bill Gross, a self-employed real estate broker associate in California with eXp Realty. Lawsuits focused on fees reinforce the general trend of trying to lower fees in the real estate market, Schipani said.

Persons: Max, Mike DelPrete, Bill Gross, there's, Keefe, Ryan Tomasello, Gilbert J, Schipani, we've, Glenn Kelman Organizations: National Association of Realtors, NAR, realtors, Max Holdings, Federal, University of Colorado Boulder, eXp Realty, Tempus Fugit, Compass Locations: Missouri, Kansas City, St, Louis, Springfield, Columbia, U.S, California

☆ Bank stocks could be the hot year-end trade if peak rates prove a 'mini clearing event'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It's time to pick positions in bank stocks heading into year end as peak rates could be a "mini clearing event" for the sector, according to Bank of America. "While we are careful to not [get] carried away, peak interest rates do have potential to serve as a mini clearing event for bank stocks," BofA's Ebrahim Poonawala wrote in a Sunday note. Regional banks are down by 27% this year, and have continued to face intense scrutiny due to their exposure to commercial real estate. "Best case, peak rates could mark near term bottom in bank stocks vs. S & P." To be sure, there remain issues in the sector. Bank stocks are highly tied to the broader economy and their loans could take a hit if the U.S. falls into a recession.

Persons: BofA's Ebrahim Poonawala, JPMorgan Chase, KRE, Poonawala, NIM, it's, Bryn Talkington, Talkington, Morgan Stanley, Bill Gross, Gross Organizations: Bank of America, Bank, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Regional Banking, P Bank, Federal Reserve, Capital Management, West Bancorp, Truist Financial, Citizens, Apple Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S

☆ 'Bond King' Bill Gross says the US economy headed for a recession as more indicators flash in the 4th quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US could be sinking into a recession by the fourth quarter, Bill Gross said. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementThe US economy may be teetering into a recession, and indicators of coming weakness could soon be flashing red, according to "Bond King" Bill Gross. "We will see it in the fourth quarter," Gross said of a GDP slowdown. And of course, the US economy is 70% based on consumer spending," Gross said.

Persons: Bill Gross, —, Gross, We're Organizations: Service, CNBC, Atlanta Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, Fitch, of Labor Statistics, JPMorgan Locations: Silicon

☆ Bill Gross says it's time to buy these regional bank stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Billionaire investor Bill Gross said Thursday that he is buying beaten-down regional bank stocks. "Regional bank falling knife has hit bottom. I'm buying TFC, CFG, KEY, FHN," Gross said in a post on X, formerly known as Twitter. Gross, whose long investing career has included co-founding PIMCO and earning the moniker "The Bond King," has said recently that he was watching regional banks for a potential buying opportunity. The sector has struggled to recover from a March flare-up that saw several midsize lenders fail, including Silicon Valley Bank.

Persons: Bill Gross, Gross Organizations: Twitter, Financial, Citizens, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with 'The Bond King' PIMCO Co-Founder Bill Gross
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with 'The Bond King' PIMCO Co-Founder Bill GrossHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

Persons: PIMCO, Bill Gross, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: CNBC

☆ Auto loan delinquencies indicate the consumer is falling behind, says PIMCO Co-Founder Bill Gross
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAuto loan delinquencies indicate the consumer is falling behind, says PIMCO Co-Founder Bill GrossHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

Persons: PIMCO, Bill Gross, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: CNBC

☆ Bill Gross sees lower interest rates offering a tailwind to regional bank stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Longtime investor Bill Gross said Thursday that regional banks are poised to bounce back with the tailwind of falling interest rates. "Regional banks … benefit from lower interest rates," Gross said on CNBC's " Last Call ." Many of these banks including Bank of America, including Schwab, have long-term bond positions … a 2% or 3% rise in prices is beneficial for them." Gross also noted that regional bank shares are now very cheap, and many of them offer hefty dividends. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) , which tracks 140 regional banks, has fallen about 28% this year.

Persons: Bill Gross, Gross, Schwab Organizations: Bank of America, Truist, Citizens, Apple, Regional Banking

☆ The winning trading method pros use — where the Fed and the economy don't matter
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Merger Arbitrage hedge funds gained 4.4% in the third quarter, standing out as the best-performing strategy for the period, beating every category in event-driven, equity, macro and value funds, according to Hedge Fund Research . "The merger arbitrage strategy has historically thrived in a rising interest rate environment when an investor's fixed income portfolio may have suffered losses," said Michael Peck, co-chief investment officer at First Trust. As the proposed deal nears completion, the target's stock typically rises and the acquirer's shares fall. This short-term trading strategy often utilized by fast-money hedge funds typically involves multiple long and short positions, and might be too sophisticated for the average individual investor. The First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF (MARB) and the IQ Merger Arbitrage ETF (MNA) are two popular ones that capitalize on the technique.

Persons: Bill Gross, Pimco, Michael Peck, Michael Kors, Jimmy Choo, there's, Gross, Broadcom's, Warren Buffett Organizations: Fund Research, First Trust, Gross, Activision Blizzard, Microsoft, Capri Holdings, Capri, VMware, Broadcom, Activision

☆ Don't be fooled by strong economic growth. A recession could still be right around the corner.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The investment firm said it wouldn't be a surprise if the economy showed strong growth right before a recession started. "In the last 12 recessions, the quarter before the economy went into a recession, growth was positive and robust." AdvertisementAdvertisementInvestors shouldn't be fooled by strong GDP growth in the next quarter or two, as an economic recession could still be right around the corner. That's based on the fact that prior recessions saw solid economic growth in the quarter right before the recession started, according to data from Raymond James. "In the last 12 recessions, the quarter before the economy went into a recession, growth was positive and robust—registering an average growth rate of 2.6%.

Persons: Raymond James, —, Larry Adam, Raymond James Strong, Adam, he's, Bill Gross, Gross, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel Organizations: Service, Atlanta Federal

☆ Treasury bond auctions have been ugly lately, and weak demand could be a 'canary in the coal mine'
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A recent string of Treasury auctions has suffered from weak investor demand. But Ed Yardeni thinks yields are already at the right levels to start bringing back demand. AdvertisementAdvertisementA string of recent Treasury bond auctions saw a major slump in investor demand, and that could be a harbinger of a trend that sends yields higher, strategists said. But market veteran Ed Yardeni told Insider that bond yields could already be at the right levels to bring back demand. AdvertisementAdvertisementHe also noted that while the recent auctions didn't go well, bond yields didn't shoot to new highs.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, —, Bill Ackman, Larry Fink, Bill Gross, Yardeni, Penn Wharton Organizations: Securities, Service, Treasury Department, TD Securities, Treasury

☆ Jeremy Grantham and Bill Gross have warned stocks are overvalued. Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel disagrees: "They are underpriced"
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Anil Varma | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel rejects the notion that US stocks are overvalued, saying they are in fact "underpriced". "Even if there is a mild recession, these are great long-term values," Siegel said, referring to the current levels in stocks. Wharton finance professor and markets guru Jeremy Siegel suggests just the opposite might be the case. Even if there is a mild recession, these are great long-term values. Stocks are almost to levels where earnings yields are above 6%, which equate to real returns going forward," Siegel wrote.

Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Jeremy Grantham, Bill Gross, Jeffrey Gundlach, Siegel, —, Wall, MacroEdge Organizations: Service, DoubleLine, JPMorgan, Equity

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Much depends on the September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Bracing for the jobs reportU.S. stocks dipped slightly Thursday as investors braced for the September job report coming out today. Yielding to high yieldsThe 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% Tuesday, a 16-year high. That isn't really a surprise, given the surge in U.S. Treasury yields and the September slump in stocks.

Persons: inched, Bond king's, Bill Gross isn't, Gross Organizations: CNBC, Metro Bank, Alstom cratered, Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: Serbia, Kosovo, Northern Kosovo, Europe, Ukraine, U.S

☆ The collapse in Treasury bonds now ranks among the worst market crashes in history
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

That's just under losses seen in the stock market when the dot-com bubble burst. The bond rout is worse than the one seen in 1981 when the 10-year yield neared 16%. Bloomberg reported losses on Treasury bond with maturities of 10 years or more had notched 46% since March 2020, while the 30-year bond had plunged 53%. Those losses are nearly in line with stock-market losses seen during the worst crashes of recent history — when equities slumped 49% after the dot-com bubble burst and 57% in the aftermath of 2008. While interest rates remain well below that level today, the central bank's aggressive turn toward monetary tightening in the post-pandemic era has caused a similar bond-market rout.

Persons: That's, —, Paul Volcker, Bill Ackman, Ray Dalio, Bill Gross Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve, Investors

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